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Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK - Süper Lig prediction, preview and lineups

Süper LigSüper Lig
Round 10
Erzurumspor FK logoErzurumspor FK(Pos. 11)
VS
31 Oct 202610:30
Çorum FK logoÇorum FK(Pos. 6)

31 Oct 2026, 10:30

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AI Pre-Match Analysis

Score Prediction
1-2
Confidence
Low46%
Result probabilities
31%Erzurumspor FK
24%Draw
46%Çorum FK

Expected goals 1.6 – 1.9

Score probabilities
Most likely: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%)
Çorum FK goals
012345+
Erzurumspor FK goals0456421
14109631
2477421
3244211
41111
5+11

% chance of each score. Blue Erzurumspor FK win, grey draw, amber Çorum FK win; darker is likelier. Outlined: our predicted score.

Key Factors
1Çorum FK’s superior away performance (12 goals in 4 games) compared to Erzurumspor’s home defense (4 conceded in 4 games).
2Erzurumspor’s inconsistent scoring (failed to score in 4 of 8 games) versus Çorum’s high overall goal output (18 in 8 games).
3Çorum’s better recent form (DLLWWLWW) compared to Erzurumspor’s weaker current form (LLDWLWDW).
4The expected goals disparity (1.9 for Çorum vs. 1.6 for Erzurumspor) reflecting attacking and defensive strengths.
5Erzurumspor’s home clean sheets (4 in 4 games) potentially limiting Çorum’s scoring, though their low goal production may counteract this.
The statistical model favors Çorum FK due to their stronger away performance and higher overall scoring rate. Çorum FK has scored 12 goals in 4 away games this season, averaging 3 per game, compared to Erzurumspor FK’s 4 goals in 4 home games (1 per game). This suggests Çorum’s attacking efficiency away from home is significantly higher, while Erzurumspor’s home defense has conceded 4 goals in 4 matches, indicating vulnerability. Çorum’s current form (DLLWWLWW) includes more recent wins, whereas Erzurumspor’s form (LLDWLWDW) shows recent struggles, including consecutive losses. The model’s expected goals (1.9 for Çorum vs. 1.6 for Erzurumspor) align with these trends, pointing to Çorum’s likely dominance in scoring opportunities. However, Erzurumspor’s home clean sheets (4 in 4 games) could limit Çorum’s chances if their defense holds firm, though their low overall scoring (5 in 8 games) may hinder their ability to capitalize on home advantage.
How accurate are our predictions? See the record →