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Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV - Bundesliga prediction, preview and lineups

BundesligaBundesliga
Round 8
Eintracht Frankfurt logoEintracht Frankfurt(Pos. 11)
VS
1 Nov 202616:30
Hamburger SV logoHamburger SV(Pos. 9)

1 Nov 2026, 16:30

Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt

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AI Pre-Match Analysis

Score Prediction
2-1
Confidence
Medium52%
Result probabilities
52%Eintracht Frankfurt
22%Draw
26%Hamburger SV

Expected goals 2.1 – 1.5

Score probabilities
Most likely: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%)
Hamburger SV goals
012345+
Eintracht Frankfurt goals033311
159631
269731
347521
42331
5+2221

% chance of each score. Blue Eintracht Frankfurt win, grey draw, amber Hamburger SV win; darker is likelier. Outlined: our predicted score.

Key Factors
1Frankfurt’s home attacking efficiency (4 goals in 3 games) versus Hamburg’s weak away defense (9 goals conceded in 3 games).
2Frankfurt’s overall scoring (10 goals in 6 games) compared to Hamburg’s lower output (6 goals in 6 games).
3Hamburg’s recent 3-game winning streak versus Frankfurt’s inconsistent form (DLWDLW).
4Frankfurt’s home defensive record (6 goals conceded) versus Hamburg’s away defensive frailty (9 goals conceded).
5Expected goals differential (2.1 for Frankfurt, 1.5 for Hamburg) indicating a statistical advantage for the home side.
The model favors Eintracht Frankfurt due to their stronger home performance and higher overall scoring efficiency. Frankfurt has scored 4 goals in 3 home games, compared to Hamburg’s 3 goals in 3 away games, while Frankfurt’s home defense has conceded only 6 goals (versus Hamburg’s 9 conceded away). Frankfurt’s current form (DLWDLW) includes 3 wins in their last 6 matches, suggesting resilience, whereas Hamburg’s form (LLLWWW) indicates inconsistency, with 3 consecutive losses before recent wins. Frankfurt’s attack (10 goals in 6 games) outperforms Hamburg’s (6 goals in 6 games), and their expected goals (2.1) exceed Hamburg’s (1.5), reflecting a statistical edge. However, Hamburg’s recent 3-game winning streak could boost confidence, and Frankfurt’s home defense (1 clean sheet, 1 failed to score) may struggle if Hamburg’s attack exploits gaps. A draw or Hamburg win would require Frankfurt to fail to capitalize on home advantage or Hamburg to overcome their poor away record (only 1 win in 3 away games).
How accurate are our predictions? See the record →