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Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna - La Liga prediction, preview and lineups

La LigaLa Liga
Round 11
Deportivo La Coruna logoDeportivo La Coruna(Pos. 9)
VS
2 Nov 202620:00
Osasuna logoOsasuna(Pos. 10)

2 Nov 2026, 20:00

Estadio Municipal de Riazor

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AI Pre-Match Analysis

Score Prediction
2-1
Confidence
Medium60%
Result probabilities
60%Deportivo La Coruna
21%Draw
19%Osasuna

Expected goals 2.3 – 1.2

Score probabilities
Most likely: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%)
Osasuna goals
012345+
Deportivo La Coruna goals04321
169521
2810621
367421
43431
5+2321

% chance of each score. Blue Deportivo La Coruna win, grey draw, amber Osasuna win; darker is likelier. Outlined: our predicted score.

Key Factors
1Deportivo’s home attack (6 goals in 5 games) versus Osasuna’s away defense (15 goals conceded in 4 games).
2Osasuna’s tendency to fail to score (3 instances in 9 games) compared to Deportivo’s consistency in scoring at home.
3Deportivo’s lack of clean sheets at home (0) and Osasuna’s ability to keep 3 clean sheets overall.
4The expected goal differential (2.3-1.2) reflecting Deportivo’s stronger home attack and Osasuna’s weak away defense.
5Recent form trends: Deportivo’s 3-game winning streak versus Osasuna’s 3-game losing streak in their last 4 matches.
The model favors Deportivo La Coruna due to their stronger home performance relative to Osasuna’s poor away record. Deportivo has scored 6 goals in 5 home games, averaging 1.2 goals per game, while Osasuna has conceded 15 goals in 4 away matches, averaging 3.75 goals per game. This stark contrast in defensive vulnerabilities suggests Deportivo’s attack could exploit Osasuna’s weak away defense. Additionally, Deportivo’s current form includes a recent run of 3 wins and 1 draw, indicating consistency, whereas Osasuna’s form is more erratic, with 3 losses in their last 4 matches. However, Osasuna’s 3 clean sheets overall and their ability to score (6 goals in 4 away games) could prevent a Deportivo win if they manage to organize defensively. A draw might occur if Deportivo fail to convert chances or if Osasuna’s attacking efficiency improves. A Osasuna win would require a significant defensive performance from them and a collapse from Deportivo, both of which are statistically unlikely based on the data.
How accurate are our predictions? See the record →