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Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière - Jupiler Pro League prediction, preview and lineups

Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro League
Round 10
Charleroi logoCharleroi(Pos. 3)
VS
1 Nov 202618:15
RAAL La Louvière logoRAAL La Louvière(Pos. 16)

1 Nov 2026, 18:15

Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi

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AI Pre-Match Analysis

Score Prediction
2-0
Confidence
Medium74%
Result probabilities
74%Charleroi
16%Draw
9%RAAL La Louvière

Expected goals 2.6 – 0.8

Score probabilities
Most likely: 2-0 (11%), 3-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%)
RAAL La Louvière goals
012345+
Charleroi goals0421
18831
211941
39831
46521
5+5421

% chance of each score. Blue Charleroi win, grey draw, amber RAAL La Louvière win; darker is likelier. Outlined: our predicted score.

Key Factors
1Charleroi’s strong home form (3 wins, 4 clean sheets in last 4 games)
2RAAL La Louvière’s poor away performance (0 wins, 10 goals conceded in last 4 away games)
3Expected goal disparity (Charleroi 2.6, RAAL 0.8) reflecting attacking and defensive imbalances
4Charleroi’s consistency in scoring (0 failed to score in home games)
5RAAL’s frequent failure to score away (3 instances in last 4 away games)
The model strongly favors Charleroi due to their dominant home performance, evidenced by 3 wins, 4 clean sheets, and 10 goals scored in their last 4 home matches. Their overall attack (16 goals in 8 games) and defensive solidity (7 goals conceded) contrast sharply with RAAL La Louvière’s dire away record, which includes 4 losses, 10 goals conceded, and only 1 goal scored in their last 4 away games. Charleroi’s ability to maintain clean sheets at home, combined with RAAL’s vulnerability on the road, supports the high probability of a Charleroi win. The expected goal difference (2.6-0.8) aligns with these trends, reflecting Charleroi’s attacking efficiency and RAAL’s defensive frailty. However, unexpected outcomes could arise if RAAL’s defense improves or Charleroi’s attack faces uncharacteristic resistance, though their historical data suggests this is unlikely.
How accurate are our predictions? See the record →