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Başakşehir vs Samsunspor - Süper Lig prediction, preview and lineups

Süper LigSüper Lig
Round 10
Başakşehir logoBaşakşehir(Pos. 10)
VS
1 Nov 202613:00
Samsunspor logoSamsunspor(Pos. 17)

1 Nov 2026, 13:00

Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul

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AI Pre-Match Analysis

Score Prediction
2-0
Confidence
Medium60%
Result probabilities
60%Başakşehir
24%Draw
17%Samsunspor

Expected goals 1.9 – 0.9

Score probabilities
Most likely: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%)
Samsunspor goals
012345+
Başakşehir goals07531
1111151
2111041
37631
4331
5+221

% chance of each score. Blue Başakşehir win, grey draw, amber Samsunspor win; darker is likelier. Outlined: our predicted score.

Key Factors
1Başakşehir’s strong home record (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss; 11 goals scored, 5 conceded) and clean sheets (3).
2Samsunspor’s weak away performance (1 win, 3 losses; 3 goals scored, 6 conceded) and frequent failure to score (4 instances).
3Expected goal differential (1.9 for Başakşehir vs 0.9 for Samsunspor), reflecting the home team’s attacking efficiency and the away side’s defensive vulnerabilities.
4Samsunspor’s lack of away clean sheets (only 1) compared to Başakşehir’s 3 at home.
5Current form: Başakşehir’s mixed but more consistent results (WLDLLWDW) versus Samsunspor’s prolonged slump (DWLLLLLL).
The model favors Başakşehir due to their strong home performance, evidenced by 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in 5 matches, with 11 goals scored and only 5 conceded. Their home defense is particularly robust, with 3 clean sheets, compared to Samsunspor’s poor away record, which includes 3 losses in 4 matches and 6 goals conceded. Samsunspor’s away struggles are compounded by their low scoring (3 goals in 4 away games) and frequent failure to score (4 instances), which contrasts sharply with Başakşehir’s consistent attacking output at home. The expected goals (1.9 for Başakşehir, 0.9 for Samsunspor) align with these trends, suggesting a likely dominant display by the home team. However, Samsunspor’s lone away win and occasional ability to score (3 goals) could theoretically lead to a draw or even a surprise win, though these outcomes are statistically less probable given the disparity in form and venue-specific performance.
How accurate are our predictions? See the record →