Result probabilities
51%Anderlecht
27%Draw
22%KVC Westerlo
Expected goals 1.6 – 1.0
Score probabilities
Most likely: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%) | | KVC Westerlo goals |
|---|
| | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ |
|---|
| Anderlecht goals | 0 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | | |
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| 1 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 2 | | |
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| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | | |
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| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | | |
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| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | | | |
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| 5+ | 1 | 1 | | | | |
|---|
% chance of each score. Blue Anderlecht win, grey draw, amber KVC Westerlo win; darker is likelier. Outlined: our predicted score.
1Anderlecht’s home defensive record (1 goal conceded in 4 games) versus Westerlo’s away defensive struggles (7 goals conceded in 4 games).
2Anderlecht’s overall goal-scoring efficiency (9 goals in 8 games) compared to Westerlo’s higher but less consistent output (20 goals in 8 games).
3Westerlo’s ability to score away (8 goals in 4 games) versus Anderlecht’s capacity to maintain clean sheets at home.
4The expected goals differential (1.6 vs 1.0) reflecting Anderlecht’s stronger home attack and Westerlo’s weaker away defense.
5Anderlecht’s current form (WLLWDWWW) indicating resilience, while Westerlo’s form (LLLDDWW) highlights recent inconsistency.
The statistical model favors Anderlecht due to their strong home performance, evidenced by 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses in 4 home games this season, alongside a defensive record of just 1 goal conceded. Their overall form (WLLWDWWW) suggests consistency, while their 9 goals scored in 8 games indicate an attacking threat. KVC Westerlo, despite a high overall goal tally (20 scored in 8 games), struggles away from home, with 2 wins, 2 losses, and 7 goals conceded in 4 away matches. Their current form (LLLDDWW) shows inconsistency, and their 1.0 expected goals figure reflects weaker defensive resilience compared to Anderlecht’s 1.6. The model’s 1-0 prediction aligns with Anderlecht’s home dominance and Westerlo’s away vulnerabilities. However, Westerlo’s attacking prowess (8 goals in 4 away games) could lead to higher-scoring outcomes if Anderlecht’s defense falters or if Westerlo’s midfield creates opportunities. Anderlecht’s 4 clean sheets at home suggest they may limit Westerlo’s chances, but Westerlo’s 2 away wins indicate they can exploit defensive lapses.
How accurate are our predictions? See the record →
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