La LigaLa Liga
Round 38
Alaves logoAlaves
VS
23 May 202619:00
Rayo Vallecano logoRayo Vallecano

23 May 2026, 19:00

Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz

AI Pre-Match Analysis

Score Prediction
1-0
Confidence
Medium65%
Key Factors
1Alaves’ home advantage and recent form (10 wins in last 32 games)
2Rayo Vallecano’s defensive record (11 clean sheets) and lower goal conceded rate
3Alaves’ higher average goals per match (1.2 vs. Rayo’s 1.0)
4Rayo’s inconsistent offensive output (36 goals in 36 matches)
5Historical context of previous encounters (though not provided, defensive trends suggest a low-scoring game)
Alaves and Rayo Vallecano enter this La Liga clash with contrasting statistical profiles. Alaves, despite a mixed recent form (10 wins, 12 losses, 10 draws in their last 32 matches), have a slightly higher offensive output (1.2 goals per game) compared to Rayo’s 1.0. However, Rayo’s defensive resilience is evident from their 11 clean sheets, compared to Alaves’ 4, suggesting a more disciplined backline. Alaves’ home advantage could be pivotal, as their current form includes several wins at home, though their inconsistency in defense may be tested by Rayo’s attacking threats. Rayo’s recent record, while showing 8 wins in their last 32 games, is marred by 18 losses, indicating a lack of consistency, but their defensive structure remains a key strength. The match may hinge on whether Alaves can exploit Rayo’s potential defensive vulnerabilities or if Rayo’s solidity will stifle Alaves’ attack.